120 years of climate scares

120 years of climate scares





120 years of climate scares


Scientists seeking funding and journalists seeking an audience agree: panic sells.



“Global cooling is going to kills us all!” “No, wait: global warming is going to kill us all!”



All that’s  missing is a back-and-forth of “You shut up!” “No, you shut up!” That is reserved for those who doubt the need for panic.



That’s the gist of an amazing chronology of the last 120 years of scare-mongering on climate, assembled by butnowyouknow.net and reprinted by the estimable Anthony Watts in Wattsupwiththat, who updates it to the present. It is truly mind-boggling:



  • 1895 - Geologists Think the World May Be Frozen Up Again – New York Times, February 1895
  • 1902 -
    “Disappearing Glaciers…deteriorating slowly, with a persistency that
    means their final annihilation…scientific fact…surely disappearing.” – Los Angeles Times
  • 1912 - Prof. Schmidt Warns Us of an Encroaching Ice Age – New York Times, October 1912
  • 1923 -
    “Scientist says Arctic ice will wipe out Canada” – Professor Gregory of
    Yale University, American representative to the Pan-Pacific Science
    Congress, – Chicago Tribune
  • 1923 -
    “The discoveries of changes in the sun’s heat and the southward advance
    of glaciers in recent years have given rise to conjectures of the
    possible advent of a new ice age” – Washington Post
  • 1924 - MacMillan Reports Signs of New Ice Age – New York Times, Sept 18, 1924
  • 1929 - “Most geologists think the world is growing warmer, and that it will continue to get warmer” – Los Angeles Times, in Is another ice age coming?
  • 1932 - “If these things be true, it is evident, therefore that we must be just teetering on an ice age” – The Atlantic magazine, This Cold, Cold World
  • 1933 - America in Longest Warm Spell Since 1776; Temperature Line Records a 25-Year Rise – New York Times, March 27th, 1933
  • 1933 – “…wide-spread and persistent tendency toward warmer weather…Is our climate changing?” – Federal Weather Bureau “Monthly Weather Review.”
  • 1938 -
    Global warming, caused by man heating the planet with carbon dioxide,
    “is likely to prove beneficial to mankind in several ways, besides the
    provision of heat and power.”– Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
  • 1938 -
    “Experts puzzle over 20 year mercury rise…Chicago is in the front rank
    of thousands of cities thuout the world which have been affected by a
    mysterious trend toward warmer climate in the last two decades” – Chicago Tribune
  • 1939 -
    “Gaffers who claim that winters were harder when they were boys are
    quite right… weather men have no doubt that the world at least for the
    time being is growing warmer” – Washington Post
  • 1952 - “…we have learned that the world has been getting warmer in the last half century” – New York Times, August 10th, 1962
  • 1954 - “…winters are getting milder, summers drier. Glaciers are receding, deserts growing” – U.S. News and World Report
  • 1954 - Climate – the Heat May Be Off – Fortune Magazine
  • 1959 - “Arctic Findings in Particular Support Theory of Rising Global Temperatures” – New York Times
  • 1969 - “…the Arctic pack ice is thinning and that the ocean at the North Pole may become an open sea within a decade or two” – New York Times, February 20th, 1969
  • 1969 – “If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000″ — Paul Ehrlich (while
    he now predicts doom from global warming, this quote only gets
    honorable mention, as he was talking about his crazy fear of
    overpopulation)
  • 1970 - “…get a good grip on your long johns, cold weather haters – the worst may be yet to come…there’s no relief in sight” – Washington Post
  • 1974 - Global cooling for the past forty years – Time Magazine
  • 1974 -
    “Climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for
    the weather aberrations they are studying may be the harbinger of
    another ice age” –Washington Post
  • 1974 - “As for the present cooling trend a number of leading climatologists have concluded that it is very bad news indeed” – Fortune magazine, who won a Science Writing Award from the American Institute of Physics for its analysis of the danger
  • 1974 -
    “…the facts of the present climate change are such that the most
    optimistic experts would assign near certainty to major crop
    failure…mass deaths by starvation, and probably anarchy and violence” – New York Times
Cassandras
are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations
they are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age




  • 1975 - Scientists Ponder Why World’s Climate is Changing; A Major Cooling Widely Considered to Be Inevitable – New York Times, May 21st, 1975
  • 1975 -
    “The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a
    likely source of wholesale death and misery for mankind” Nigel Calder,
    editor, New Scientist magazine, in an article in International Wildlife Magazine
  • 1976 - “Even U.S. farms may be hit by cooling trend” – U.S. News and World Report
  • 1981 - Global Warming – “of an almost unprecedented magnitude” – New York Times
  • 1988 -
    I would like to draw three main conclusions. Number one, the earth is
    warmer in 1988 than at any time in the history of instrumental
    measurements. Number two, the global warming is now large enough that we
    can ascribe with a high degree of confidence a cause and effect
    relationship to the greenhouse effect. And number three, our computer
    climate simulations indicate that thegreenhouse effect is already large
    enough to begin to effect the probability of extreme events such as
    summer heat waves. – Jim HansenJune 1988 testimony before Congress, see His later quote andHis superior’s objection for context
  • 1989 -“On
    the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific
    method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and
    nothing but – which means that we must include all doubts, the caveats,
    the ifs, ands and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists
    but human beings as well. And like most people we’d like to see the
    world a better place, which in this context translates into our working
    to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climate change. To do that
    we need to get some broad based support, to capture the public’s
    imagination. That, of course, means getting loads of media coverage. So
    we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic
    statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have.
     This
    “double ethical bind” we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved
    by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is
    between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both.”
    – Stephen Schneider, lead author of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,Discover magazine, October 1989
  • 1990 -
    “We’ve got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of
    global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing – in terms of
    economic policy and environmental policy” – Senator Timothy Wirth
  • 1993 -
    “Global climate change may alter temperature and rainfall patterns,
    many scientists fear, with uncertain consequences for agriculture.” – U.S. News and World Report
  • 1998 -
    No matter if the science [of global warming] is all phony . . . climate
    change [provides] the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and
    equality in the world.” —Christine Stewart, Canadian Minister of the
    Environment, Calgary Herald, 1998
  • 2001 -
    “Scientists no longer doubt that global warming is happening, and
    almost nobody questions the fact that humans are at least partly
    responsible.” – Time Magazine, Monday, Apr. 09, 2001
  • 2003 -
    Emphasis on extreme scenarios may have been appropriate at one time,
    when the public and decision-makers were relatively unaware of the
    global warming issue, and energy sources such as “synfuels,” shale oil
    and tar sands were receiving strong consideration” – Jim Hansen, NASA Global Warming activist, Can we defuse The Global Warming Time Bomb?, 2003
  • 2006 -
    “I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual
    presentations on how dangerous it is, as a predicate for opening up the
    audience to listen to what the solutions are, and how hopeful it is that
    we are going to solve this crisis.” — Al Gore, Grist magazine, May 2006
  • 2006 –
    “It is not a debate over whether the earth has been warming over the
    past century. The earth is always warming or cooling, at least a few
    tenths of a degree…” —Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan professor of meteorology at MIT
  • 2006 –
    “What we have fundamentally forgotten is simple primary school science.
    Climate always changes. It is always…warming or cooling, it’s never
    stable. And if it were stable, it would actually be interesting
    scientifically because it would be the first time for four and a half
    billion years.” —Philip Stott, emeritus professor of bio-geography at the University of London
  • 2006 -
    “Since 1895, the media has alternated between global cooling and
    warming scares during four separate and sometimes overlapping time
    periods. From 1895 until the 1930’s the media peddled a coming ice age.
    From the late 1920’s until the 1960’s they warned of global warming.
    From the 1950’s until the 1970’s they warned us again of a coming ice
    age. This makes modern global warming the fourth estate’s fourth attempt
    to promote opposing climate change fears during the last 100 years.” –Senator James Inhofe, Monday, September 25, 2006
  • 2007-
    “I gave a talk recently (on fallacies of global warming) and three
    members of the Canadian government, the environmental cabinet, came up
    afterwards and said, ‘We agree with you, but it’s not worth our jobs to
    say anything.’ So what’s being created is a huge industry with billions
    of dollars of government money and people’s jobs dependent on it.” – Dr. Tim Ball, Coast-to-Coast, Feb 6, 2007
  • 2008 –
    “Hansen was never muzzled even though he violated NASA’s official
    agency position on climate forecasting (i.e., we did not know enough to
    forecast climate change or mankind’s effect on it). Hansen thus
    embarrassed NASA by coming out with his claims of global warming in 1988
    in his testimony before Congress” – Dr. John S. Theon, retired Chief of the Climate Processes Research Program atNASA, see above for Hansen quotes
Section updated by Anthony:



  • 2009 – Climate change: melting ice will trigger wave of natural disasters. Scientists
    at a London conference next week will warn of earthquakes, avalanches
    and volcanic eruptions as the atmosphere heats up and geology is
    altered. Even Britain could face being struck by tsunamis – “Not only
    are the oceans and atmosphere conspiring against us, bringing baking
    temperatures, more powerful storms and floods, but the crust beneath our
    feet seems likely to join in too,” – Professor Bill McGuire, director of the Benfield Hazard Research Centre, at University College London, – The Guardian, Sep 2009.
  • 2010 – What Global Warming Looks Like. It
    was more than 5°C (about 10°F) warmer than climatology in the eastern
    European region including Moscow. There was an area in eastern Asia that
    was similarly unusually hot. The eastern part of the United States was
    unusually warm, although not to the degree of the hot spots in Eurasia. James Hansen – NASA GISS, August 11, 2010.
  • 2011 – Where Did Global Warming Go? “In Washington, ‘climate change’ has become a lightning rod, it’s a four-letter word,” said Andrew J. Hoffman, director of the University of Michigan’s Erb Institute for Sustainable Development.   – New York Times, Oct 15, 2011.
  • 2012 – Global warming close to becoming irreversible-scientists. “This is the critical decade. If we don’t get the curves turned around this decade we will cross those lines,” said Will Steffen, executive director of the Australian National University’s climate change institute, speaking at a conference in London. Reuters, Mar 26, 2012
  • 2013 – Global-warming ‘proof’ is evaporating. 
    The 2013 hurricane season just ended as one of the five quietest years
    since 1960. But don’t expect anyone who pointed to last year’s
    hurricanes as “proof” of the need to act against global warming to
    apologize; the warmists don’t work that way. New York Post, Dec 5, 2013
  • 2014  – Climate change: It’s even worse than we thought.  Five
    years ago, the last report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
    Change painted a gloomy picture of our planet’s future. As climate
    scientists gather evidence for the next report, due in 2014, Michael Le
    Page gives seven reasons why things are looking even grimmer. –New Scientist (undated in 2014)

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